Category: Interest Rates
Trillion-Dollar Deficits From Here to Eternity
In America today, it is almost impossible — politically — to cut government spending or to raise taxes. That leaves debt as the only way forward.
Mr Market Will Have the Last Laugh
The US government funded the boom of the last 30 years with debt — which increased, year after year, 2-4 times faster than the GDP needed to pay it.
The Most Absurd Myth of the 21st Century
Assets, markets, companies, and empires rise and fall. But now comes the most absurd myth of all — that the feds can ‘manage’ and ‘guide’ the economy,
She’s Not Serious…Is She?
One smart cookie believes we should keep interest rates at zero. But how can we do that and not have crippling runaway inflation?
Trump Is Trapped
Stocks advanced a little yesterday. Investors were said to be hopeful about the upcoming trade talks with the Chinese. With a little luck, President Trump will talk to Chinese President Xi Jinping about the ongoing trade war. He’ll announce a
The Markets Are Heading Towards a Cliff…First to Jump is Chicken
This is a time to prepare. The market and the Fed may be playing a game of chicken. But they are also still heading for the edge of the cliff.
What We Learned From 2018…
After a week at the family farm, we had come back to the city for New Year’s Eve. But hardly had the new year begun when the echoes of the old year filled the streets and alleyways.
What Trump and Powell Do Next…
Well, we were wrong. We figured the Fed would pause now. Instead, it went ahead with its rate hike and suggested it would pause in 2019.
No Matter What the Fed Does, We All Lose
We were waiting for the big Fed announcement on a rate hike. But what happened? No trumpets. No bells. No heralds. None came.
It’s All a Gigantic Monopoly Game
If you have ever played Monopoly, you have probably noticed two things. The game can be really long and the banker — who pretty much controls the game — can never run out of money.
The Fed Has the Shakes
Central banks have no economic magic. No financial panaceas. No money miracles. They can’t really make an economy run better.
Good News About the Coming Crash
The last leaves are falling from the trees. And the last days of December are counting down, like the quiet moments before an execution.
The Debt Bomb That Could Blow in 2019
The Fed were planning to ‘normalise’ monetary policy very slowly. They didn’t expect much turbulence. The truth is that it’s not shaping out to be that way. Markets have been jolting all year.
How the Country Goes Broke…
Come the next crisis, our problems will intensify. Tax revenues will plummet. Deficits will grow to $2 trillion a year in 2019 or 2020.
What We Said to a Group of DC Elite
We have a bubble economy, not an economy on a solid footing of rising wages, productivity, sales, and profits. The boom we have enjoyed is largely fake.